Obama Will Lose Worse Than Kerry
Folks,
I work as a precinct pollster for many congressman. I am an independent, this is why they trust my math, I tell people how it is. I admire both Senator Clinton as well as Senator Obama, and frankly, I admire John McCain. I understand that there are mostly democrats here and that's fine. However, I do not "hate" anybody. After all, you barely know any of these candidates so it is amusing to me when people "hate" someone. After all, when it comes to Senator Clinton, I admire her tenacity and frankly, I believe she is an incredible woman and a woman that has gotten closer to becoming President in the U.S. than any other woman. Senator Obama - I admire his story, his ability to speak about change in an honest manner. And John McCain, I admire his service to our country. After all, this man was a prisoner of war for four years when Barack was in diapers. If anyone knows about "Hope" or has the "Audacity", it is truly John McCain to survive a prisoner of war camp and return to his family and country. Here is the plain reality:
Barack is unelectable.
Why and how?He will lose by a greater margin than John Kerry. What you say? I'm Nuts! There is so much antipathy toward republican rule, there is so much antipathy towards the gas prices and such a distaste for President Bush, McCain is doomed right? Wrong.
Why is it that McCain and Barack are tied in national polls irrelevant of all this? Democrats are winning everywhere, except in the executive office. Why? Because Barack is the most liberal democratic candidate every put forward by the Democratic Party. After all, look at the precedent when a liberal senator from the north gets the nomination in recent history:
Dukakis - Loss.
Mondale - Loss.Kerry - Loss.
Gore - Can be Considered a liberal despite being from Tennessee - Loss (although I think he won)
Clinton - Arkansas - Moderate Democrat - Won.
Carter - Georgia - Moderate Democrat - Won.
It seems only the Democrats could screw up something this good. Of course, CNN, MSNBC and NBC are blatantly for Barack Obama, this is obvious in the news reporting.
But, any Democrat that is down by 10 points in Florida, down by 8 points in Ohio and actually down by 1 point in Michigan has the doors closed for the nomination.
Barack Fans: Tell me 1 State that Barack will win more than John Kerry. Just tell me 1. Can you? I don't think you can.
Thus, if this election repeats the same way as what happened to Kerry, as Kerry will barely will Pennsylvania but lose Florida and Ohio, 2 key battleground states, it's over. The same result as 2004. But, here is your shocker, Michigan Democrats are angry at their votes not being counted: Consequently, Michigan will go for John McCain as all polls indicate an upset and if Michigan goes Red, this race is Over, for any Democrat.
There is only 1 Democrat that can win the general election against McCain and who actually beats McCain in Florida, Hillary Clinton. Of course, I think Barack will get more national votes than Hillary, but electorally Hillary wins. Sure, Barack won't lose Georgia for example by 25 points like Hillary will, but he will STILL LOSE Georgia by 10 points - and Folks, this is not some sort of Caucus, this is Reality in the General Election: A Primary - Where he will likely struggle greatly.
In a Year that Democrats are supposed to Dominate, they pick the one candidate that is the most liberal Senator of 2007 and consequently will get trounced. Congrats Democrats, you screwed yourself over again.
The one quote that will haunt Barack: "I am confident I can get Senator Clinton's supporters, but I am not confident if she can get my supporters' votes". Really? Is this why 30% of Senator Clinton's supporters now claim they will vote for McCain and 14% say they are unsure. Thus, 44% of Senator Clinton's supporters say they won't vote for you while it is only 30% when your supporters are asked? Congrats Barack, your arrogance just got you pummeled in the General Election.
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5.12.2008
Obamaisunelectable blogger asserts that...
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48 comments:
This theory of yours only proves you've got a screw loose. It is time for new rules, people are tired of politics as usual, we are tired of making life decisions while fueling up. McCain=Clinton, Obama=Difference. Period
well this may be true or maynot be true that barack will lose more than kerry because fell to reallize they are both good president material so is clinton but if either or clinton and or barack win they can have one as a vice but it would be better them than bush thats what i think
Nathaniel B.
I really think that Senator Clinton's supporters took this commit in the wrong way. Senator Clinton didn't run a clean race. I think that all the mudthrowing she did will be hard to forget. That is why i think Barrack said he is not confident that she can gget his supporters.
Daius B.
From the writers points of i can sum up that they don't get along much with african americans and is not a fan of a democrats. They used nice words to say bad things. John mccain is not a bad canidate for presidant but im a democrat and he's not the right pick for me or my community.
I think that obama is not being fair because if clinton given him some support i think obama should do the same he just wont everything to his self and it dont work like dat but i have to give obama some love cause he trying the best he can.
Darius B.
I think that obama will when in the presidential office and clinton will be the VP.
Either way it goes in this article all the presidental runners are very accurable people and they also has feeling to just as the editors of this blogg. There is a fair win and its not about who did somehting bad or good its about how the person comes to the public with their knowledge.
well even though u are stating that mccain and clinton are doing better in the genral election obama still has a big chance of winning since he has the the biggest percentage and hilary is right behind him
This is a competition, more so competitive than anything else. So what if Hilary doesn't play by the rules? It shows she's willing to do what it takes to get what she wants, fair or unfair. This is a political war they are fighting, rather with words and promises than withe guns or bombs. I personally don't think Obama would be -fit- for the title of President of the United States, not because I don't deem him eligible or qualified for the position, it just seems to me like he would become the scapegoat for the country's problems. If anything malfunctions in the states I believe the media would be at his throat, blaming him just as they blame Bush for his ineffectiveness. Hilary = A new era.
certainly i do not care what anyone thinks because everyone is entitled to there own opinion. but i seriously think that barack obama will win, but i also feel that if he is elected that many will try to kill him because of his race and religion. i also feel that hillary clinton is someone that doesn't live up to her word. even though she is a woman and i would love to have a woman as president but i feel that people will only vote for her because of her husband bill clinton, and which i certainly believe she will leave him if she does succeed in this election. as for john mcclain i dont really know much about him but he was a prisioner of war, which i thing is great in all but i think that's not enough to run this country. so as for now that my opinion and im sticking to it!!!!
VOTE FOR BARACK OBAMA!!! HE WILL GET THE JOB DONE!!!
I think obama will make a great president cause he has many changes for the U.S. I also think clinton will make a great persident but i also think that a women cant handle a big job like that not sayin that a women not strong enougt but i know she got great changes to but i just think obama will just make a great JOB!
Obama is a great man and I think he has what it takes to run the american society
Certainly I do not care what anyone thinks because everyone is entitled to there own opinion. But I seriously think that Barack Obama will win, but I also feel that he will not be responsible for his actions (like Bush is doing in the office now!!!) but anyway,if he is elected that many people will try to kill him because of his race and religion. I also feel that Hillary Clinton is someone that doesn't live up to her word. Even though she is a woman and I would love to have a woman as president but I feel that people will only vote for her because of her husband William "Bill" Clinton, and which I certainly believe she will leave him if she does succeed in this election that maybe she'll try again in a couple of years.
BASED UPON WHAT I HAVE READ I BELIVE TO MY KNOWLEGE THAT BARACK OBAMA WILL WIN NOT ONLY BECAUSE HE IS BLACK,(EVEN THOUGH IT IS IMPORTANT, I AM A YOUNG BLACK FEMALE MYSELF)JUST BECAUSE IT IS TIME FOR A CHANGE,THE REASON WHY I WILL NOT VOTE FOR HILLARY IS I WOULD RATHER BE BLACK BEFORE A FEMALE.EVEN THOUGH BOTH WILL MAKE HISTORY, I JUST WANT BARACK TO BE THE FIRST.IF YOU AGREE VOT FO ~~~BARACK OBAMA~~~ LETS MAKE A CHANGE!!!~~~
I THINK BARACK WILL WIN NO MATTER WHAT. I SAY THIS BECAUSE HE SETS A GOOD EXAMPLE FOR OUR COUNTRY. HES VOTE WOULD START GOING UP. HES VOTE WOULD START GOIND UP BECAUSE THERE WOULD BE PROBLEMS IN THE COUNTRY AND HE WOULD BE THE ONE TO MAKE THE CHANGES. Hillary Clinton ISN'T A BAD EXAMPLE OR WOMEN BUT SHE DOES THINKS LIKE HE DOES AND DOESN'T HAVE THE WAY HE DOES.
I think that Barack Obama will be a good president, if he had some expreience, but now i think that Hillary Clinton will be i better at it by being an x first lady.
I think that obama will when in the presidential office and clinton will be the VP.
i think that its wrong to judge someone you don't even know and tht you should just wait and see who gets into presidency.
i think buddy doesn't even knows what he is talkin bout. I think he is hating on Barack obama and he jus judging him and he doesn't no him. He trippin.
Quartez Said...
Barack Obama Will Win Because He Will Be The Black Men To Win To Be The Prsident And Clntion Might Win Because She Will Be The First Women To Win To Be President
REALLY I THINK THAT HILLARY CLINTON OR BARACK OBAMA WOULD WIN. IT REALLY DON'T MATTER BECAUSE BOTH OF THEM ARE REALLY GOOD PEOPLE. SOME PEOPLE JUST PICK BARACK OBAMA BECAUSE HILLARY CLINTON IS WHITE AND BARACK OBAMA IS BLACK. WE DON'T NEED TO JUDGE PEOPLE HOW THEY LOOK WE NEED TO JUDGE THEMFROM WHO THEY ARE.
Reading your theory shows that you are well educated in politics,but im sad to say that God is the only one who really knows whats going to happen. By the way i think Barrack will win, SORRY.
in this passage i pick out what the aruthor is writing. he says barack will lose the electorial votes to hillary clinton, but would get more national votes. i think that senator barack obama will the next president elections because of the background he has and the family he was broght up in
In this article i thnk that the writer isn't sure you to vote for. i believe the writer is with Hillary, but he trys to say positive things about Obama.
I believe that obama has a great chance in this race even though he's againest all odds. He has the great knowledge to beat the other senators. Also i think the person who wrote this is not giving him a chance to prove his self to those people who don't believe in him.
I think that Obama or Clinton will win. I don't even think he no what he is talking about. If McCain win i will give him his props, but other then that Obama or Clinton is going to win the race.
I think that Hillary clinton may not wen . But we all know that every one is going to vote for Barack . And if she dont get President she wont to be vice President but for right now she is still runing for President .And every thing Hillary do it is like it keep going back .And when every thing Barack do it keep going a head and nu stop.
i think obama is a good man and they are taking this the wrong way. OBAMA WILL BE OUR NEXT PRESIDENT.
i think that barack obama will win because he is a great leader and when he speak it's from a condition where you can't help but to say that i really do see his point of veiw and where he is coming from there is nothing i can really say because he is realy speechless
From the writers points of i can sum up that they don't get along much with african americans and is not a fan of a democrats. They used nice words to say bad things. John mccain is not a bad canidate for presidant but im a democrat and he's not the right pick for me or my community.
u gotta be a white person to dis barak like dat, but its all good and u shouldent be so negative if u not gone vote for barak then dont comment
I believe that obama has a great chance in this race even though he's againest all odds.SOME PEOPLE JUST PICK BARACK OBAMA BECAUSE HILLARY CLINTON IS WHITE AND BARACK OBAMA IS BLACK.
well i think obama is strong enough to run the white house on is on.and he can't be so weak that he's in the lead right now and has been for a minute so what that says hilery isn't strong enough to catch up.or any other canadite
I disagree. Barack will be as great president.
I really think that Senator Clinton's supporters took this commit in the wrong way. Senator Clinton didn't run a clean race. I think that all the mudthrowing she did will be hard to forget. That is why i think Barrack said he is not confident that she can gget his supporters.
I agree with shirlonda and Patra!
mz.classie sayz i think Barrack Obama will win beacause hes a great president and he sets a great example for our country an di think think our country will become better than what it is i also dont think hilary is a bad president she a great women but she just think she batter than everyone and thats not true but i think obama will win
now anybody in their right mind know this blog or whatever it is isnt true
I dont think that Obama will loose as bad as Kerry did. He and Hilary Clinton are "neck and neck"
To me i really think your wrong because people are trying to make a big change around america, so really i think it is between Obama and Clinton.
either candidate will win because it is time for a change a black man or a white woman
all the presidental runners are very accurable people and they also has feeling to just as the editors of this blogg. There is a fair win and its not about who did somehting bad or good its about how the person comes to the public with their knowledge.
it really dnt matter who wins because i think both of them good leaders and the will run the us right and i really think it is time for something new and thats in both of them
i agress with quashundra
everyone has their own opinionbut whether you believe it or not obama should win and it doesn't matter if mccain was a prisoner of war or if hillary is married to bill obama will get the job done
You should never doubt any one but I hoping for Hillary.
everybody has they own opinionbut whether you believe it or not obama need to win i want him to win he will make things right.
yes i agree
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